Regency Fincorp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
30,898.54
1 Week
9,063.43
1 Month
7,223.55
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6283 | 0.22 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4632 | 8.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -0.09 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5522 | 0.27 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4478 | 1.06 |
Persistence:
0.841
Half-life:
4 days
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