V-Lab
Polyplex (Thailand) Pcl ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,923.59
1 Week
2,841.40
1 Month
1,472.21
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1839 | 0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8387 | 143.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1033 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.1531 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2485 | 0.66 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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