How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	111
αARCH	0.0755	9.51***
βGARCH	0.9059	86.49***
γleverage	-0.0535	-3.52***
λ₁tau intercept	5.0192	2.71***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0000	0.00
λ₃tau persistence	0.9979	263.16***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	111
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0755	9.51***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9059	86.49***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0535	-3.52***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	5.0192	2.71***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.00
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9979	263.16***

V-Lab

Pets at Home Group Plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Pets at Home Group Plc Analyses