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V-Lab

Optivalue TEK Consulting Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

22,997.72

increased by 20,249.54

1 Week

5,576.31

increased by 2,828.13

1 Month

3,838.10

increased by 1,089.92

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Optivalue TEK Consulting Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

1.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1174
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2783
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0098
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days