V-Lab
Indonesia Prima Prop (Pt) ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
35,352.73
increased by 4,548.53
1 Week
32,166.97
increased by 1,362.77
1 Month
31,039.16
increased by 234.96
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 19, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2002 | 24.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7727 | 100.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0394 | -3.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 135,175.2447 |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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