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Indonesia Prima Prop (Pt) ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

35,352.73

increased by 4,548.53

1 Week

32,166.97

increased by 1,362.77

1 Month

31,039.16

increased by 234.96

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Indonesia Prima Prop (Pt) ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2002
24.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7727
100.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0394
-3.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

135,175.2447

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days