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V-Lab

NSI NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

9,874.38

decreased by 697.19

1 Week

10,617.88

increased by 46.31

1 Month

11,084.37

increased by 512.80

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NSI NV ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1117
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7485
14.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1117
-0.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0712
1.60
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9288
26.80***

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days