V-Lab
NSI NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
9,874.38
1 Week
10,617.88
1 Month
11,084.37
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1117 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7485 | 14.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1117 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.59 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0712 | 1.60 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9288 | 26.80*** |
Persistence:
0.804
Half-life:
3 days
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