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V-Lab

NSI NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

12,501.45

increased by 1,439.53

1 Week

11,517.60

increased by 455.68

1 Month

11,100.23

increased by 38.31

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of NSI NV ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1118
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7488
14.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1118
-0.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0711
1.61
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9289
26.87***

Persistence:

0.805

Half-life:

3 days