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Maskapai Reasuransi Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, June 30th, 2026

1 Day

3,670.46

increased by 3,056.21

1 Week

1,150.95

increased by 536.70

1 Month

623.98

increased by 9.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 05:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

06/29/2024

to

06/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Maskapai Reasuransi ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 1995 to Jun 29, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.86
αARCH0.0677
3.67***
βGARCH0.9428
116.15***
γleverage-0.0210
-0.88

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0677
3.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9428
116.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0210
-0.88

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-