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V-Lab

Mo-Bruk Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

7,389.04

increased by 637.12

1 Week

7,142.66

increased by 390.74

1 Month

8,453.00

increased by 1,701.08

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mo-Bruk Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0909
0.40
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9355
308.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0909
-0.22
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0916
0.48
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8963
20.65***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days