V-Lab
Mo-Bruk Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
7,389.04
1 Week
7,142.66
1 Month
8,453.00
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0909 | 0.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9355 | 308.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0909 | -0.22 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0916 | 0.48 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8963 | 20.65*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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