V-Lab
Macquarie Technology Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
5,164.50
1 Week
5,589.60
1 Month
6,534.44
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 27, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1065 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8123 | 1.19 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1065 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1954 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8046 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
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