V-Lab
Macquarie Technology Group Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,342.78
1 Week
6,537.00
1 Month
7,157.78
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 27, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 90% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.8175 | 0.68 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0300 | 13.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9565 | 741.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0271 | 8.73*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Macquarie Technology Group Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities