Keel Infrastructure Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
2,689.46
1 Week
2,384.23
1 Month
1,472.23
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 16, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 591 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2128 | 15.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7764 | 165.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0193 | 0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 801.31*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
591 days
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