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Kardex Holding Ag ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

4,863.18

decreased by 572.33

1 Week

5,926.79

increased by 491.28

1 Month

4,952.44

decreased by 483.07

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kardex Holding Ag ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 2, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 414 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1537
0.90
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8347
52.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0199
0.06
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1907
15.34***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8093
4.31***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

414 days