V-Lab
Johnson Service Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
5,846.83
1 Week
6,983.44
1 Month
6,981.94
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 2, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1233 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6817 | 24.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1233 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8552 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1448 | 0.09 |
Persistence:
0.743
Half-life:
2 days
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