JPMorgan Japanese Investment Trust plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,802.96
1 Week
6,743.68
1 Month
4,969.94
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0628 | 1.72* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9320 | 439.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0628 | -1.14 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5704 | 3.47*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 289.81*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
19 days
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