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JPMorgan Japanese Investment Trust plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
3,922.13
1 Week
3,733.88
1 Month
3,635.56
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0629 | 1.67* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9321 | 459.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0629 | -1.11 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2967 | 4.52*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 280.61*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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