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Janana DE Malucho Textile Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

8,630.94

increased by 3,611.38

1 Week

6,049.59

increased by 1,030.03

1 Month

10,174.76

increased by 5,155.20

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Janana DE Malucho Textile ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 12, 2012 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.01
αARCH0.0897
4.67***
βGARCH0.8972
81.93***
γleverage0.0263
0.69

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0897
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8972
81.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0263
0.69

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days