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Turkiye Is Bankasi As ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

15,866.19

decreased by 2,690.74

1 Week

15,171.84

decreased by 3,385.09

1 Month

11,226.36

decreased by 7,330.57

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Is Bankasi As ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 1995 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0912
7.30***
βGARCH0.7837
26.55***
γleverage-0.0912
-0.83
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.02
λ₂forecast adj.0.8265
12.88***
λ₃tau persistence0.1735
2.94***

0.829

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0912
7.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7837
26.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0912
-0.83
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8265
12.88***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1735
2.94***

Persistence:

0.829

Half-life:

4 days