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Ikoma Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

8,641.27

decreased by 2,099.98

1 Week

9,490.21

decreased by 1,251.04

1 Month

7,194.45

decreased by 3,546.80

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ikoma Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 27, 2023 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 674 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7512
10.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3118
34.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1280
-0.98
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9999
12.55***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0001
0.09

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

674 days