How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.1363	1.86*
αARCH	0.0897	3.79***
βGARCH	0.9190	78.52***
γleverage	-0.0175	-0.56

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.1363	1.86*
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0897	3.79***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9190	78.52***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0175	-0.56

V-Lab

Vicem Haivan Cement Jsc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Vicem Haivan Cement Jsc Analyses