Herald Investment Trust PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
7,422.66
1 Week
9,481.72
1 Month
7,300.43
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1233 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7256 | 12.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1233 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1118 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8882 | 3.92*** |
Persistence:
0.787
Half-life:
3 days
Other Herald Investment Trust PLC Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Closed-end Funds