Hindusthan Vidyut Products ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026
1 Day
10,884.56
1 Week
10,884.56
1 Month
5,730.87
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 28, 2016 to May 8, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2294 | 7.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8378 | 163.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2294 | -5.45*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9958 | 4,505.74*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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