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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

95,181.96

decreased by 4,036.61

1 Week

97,926.05

decreased by 1,292.52

1 Month

114,061.21

increased by 14,842.64

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3527 trading days (~14.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 83% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3527 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 83% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9020
1.30
αARCH0.0468
6.82***
βGARCH0.9337
175.31***
γleverage0.0386
3.24***

1.000

Persistence

3527d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9020
1.30
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0468
6.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9337
175.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0386
3.24***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3527 days