V-Lab
Hain Celestial Group Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
95,181.96
decreased by 4,036.61
1 Week
97,926.05
decreased by 1,292.52
1 Month
114,061.21
increased by 14,842.64
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3527 trading days (~14.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 83% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3527 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 83% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9020 | 1.30 |
| αARCH | 0.0468 | 6.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9337 | 175.31*** |
| γleverage | 0.0386 | 3.24*** |
1.000
Persistence3527d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9020 | 1.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0468 | 6.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9337 | 175.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0386 | 3.24*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3527 days
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