V-Lab
Great Portland Estates PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
4,522.07
1 Week
4,328.99
1 Month
4,782.08
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 10:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1991 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1016 | 0.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7152 | 11.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1016 | -0.23 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.1931 | 0.79 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0861 | 1.80* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9139 | 4.55*** |
Persistence:
0.766
Half-life:
3 days
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