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Garovaglio Zorraquin SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

10,930.90

increased by 1,954.46

1 Week

9,866.19

increased by 889.75

1 Month

11,080.16

increased by 2,103.72

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Garovaglio Zorraquin SA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 29, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1702
0.38
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8902
126.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1702
-0.22
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9850
54.77***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days