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FabricAI Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

111,354.20

increased by 12,973.62

1 Week

93,690.58

decreased by 4,690.00

1 Month

55,539.42

decreased by 42,841.16

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FabricAI Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 470 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2630
1.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7767
231.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0824
-0.26
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
1.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
0.86
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
1.25

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

470 days