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FabricAI Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

97,306.10

increased by 13,710.64

1 Week

76,773.93

decreased by 6,821.53

1 Month

46,946.94

decreased by 36,648.52

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FabricAI Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 43% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1554
28.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8114
372.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0665
7.91***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-