V-Lab
Enghouse Systems Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
5,128.37
1 Week
4,291.71
1 Month
4,163.97
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1079 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5508 | 11.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1079 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8621 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0349 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9651 | 34.23*** |
Persistence:
0.605
Half-life:
1 days
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