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Dynemic Products Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,143.70

decreased by 466.99

1 Week

5,775.70

increased by 165.01

1 Month

5,594.34

decreased by 16.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dynemic Products Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 42% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.53
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1023
11.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8763
153.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0428
2.17**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-