V-Lab
Deep Yellow Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
6,501.08
1 Week
6,469.63
1 Month
5,836.34
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0926 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9273 | 476.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0926 | -3.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0001 | 1.59 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9885 | 147.93*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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