V-Lab
Dulamia Cotton Spinning Mill ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
37,126.03
1 Week
36,228.38
1 Month
31,601.54
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2009 to Aug 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3715 | 0.68 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8067 | 42.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3715 | -0.33 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9994 | 324.89*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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