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Dulamia Cotton Spinning Mill ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

37,126.03

decreased by 2,904.85

1 Week

36,228.38

decreased by 3,802.50

1 Month

31,601.54

decreased by 8,429.34

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dulamia Cotton Spinning Mill ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2009 to Aug 25, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3715
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8067
42.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3715
-0.33
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9994
324.89***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days