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DocMorris AG Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

4,647.56

decreased by 322.02

1 Week

5,091.80

increased by 122.22

1 Month

5,436.61

increased by 467.03

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of DocMorris AG ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2017 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 416 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 168% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~416 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 168% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.89
αARCH0.0379
3.37***
βGARCH0.9286
120.81***
γleverage0.0636
3.56***

0.998

Persistence

416d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.89
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0379
3.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9286
120.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0636
3.56***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

416 days