Donear Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
7,652.73
1 Week
7,146.31
1 Month
5,557.17
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2628 | 1.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7780 | 77.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0934 | -0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0095 | 2.52** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9874 | 277.52*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
117 days
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