V-Lab
De' Longhi SpA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,599.25
1 Week
2,138.12
1 Month
2,107.34
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1673 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7649 | 12.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1672 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 5.07*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1887 | 5.38*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8113 | 1.23 |
Persistence:
0.849
Half-life:
4 days
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