V-Lab
DH Group Nyrt ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
7,004.43
1 Week
3,360.17
1 Month
2,781.21
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 22, 2017 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0821 | 1.10 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 3.19*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 6.7131 | 0.58 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0278 | 1.94* |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9722 | 92.84*** |
0.332
Persistence1d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0821 | 1.10 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 3.19*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.7131 | 0.58 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0278 | 1.94* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9722 | 92.84*** |
Persistence:
0.332
Half-life:
1 days
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