Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,038.68
1 Week
5,064.21
1 Month
5,507.83
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1254 | 4.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8797 | 352.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1254 | -8.01*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.4297 | 9.83*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9968 | 984.96*** |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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