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Datagroup Se ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,488,082.00

decreased by 121,789.00

1 Week

2,201,696.74

decreased by 408,174.26

1 Month

882,614.20

decreased by 1,727,256.80

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Datagroup Se ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0604
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9541
223.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0574
-2.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3371
3.72***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9974
3,227.69***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days