V-Lab
Datagroup Se ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2,488,082.00
1 Week
2,201,696.74
1 Month
882,614.20
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0604 | 3.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9541 | 223.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0574 | -2.64*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3371 | 3.72*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9974 | 3,227.69*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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