V-Lab
CVS Health Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
20.22
1 Week
20.40
1 Month
19.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0733 | 6.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8319 | 43.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0422 | -1.74* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3781 | 2.21** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4240 | 5.38*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5686 | 7.21*** |
Persistence:
0.884
Half-life:
6 days
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