How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	3.7154	0.03
αARCH	0.0043	1.20
βGARCH	0.9826	79.93***
γleverage	0.0263	0.30

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	3.7154	0.03
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0043	1.20
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9826	79.93***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0263	0.30

V-Lab

First Capital Holdings Plc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other First Capital Holdings Plc Analyses