V-Lab
Cellavision AB ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
6,329.95
1 Week
6,023.31
1 Month
5,216.34
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 28, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0879 | 13.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9164 | 402.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0879 | -7.38*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0456 | 49.82*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9967 | 1,969.85*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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