V-Lab
Cellavision AB ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4,511.36
1 Week
5,045.43
1 Month
5,906.68
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 28, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0896 | 15.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9167 | 399.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0896 | -6.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.50 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9966 | 1,954.08*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
Other Cellavision AB Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities