V-Lab
Cellavision AB ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,500.40
1 Week
5,307.28
1 Month
5,851.20
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 28, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0876 | 13.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9166 | 404.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0876 | -7.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0492 | 49.83*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9968 | 1,973.77*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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