V-Lab
Cellecor Gadgets Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
6,083.52
decreased by 427.37
1 Week
6,752.45
increased by 241.56
1 Month
8,331.04
increased by 1,820.15
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 83 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.94 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9336 | 212.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1161 | 11.34*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
83 days
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