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Bnp Paribas Bank Polska Sa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,969.76

increased by 289.96

1 Week

5,555.62

decreased by 124.18

1 Month

5,820.19

increased by 140.39

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bnp Paribas Bank Polska Sa ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.08
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0331
5.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9585
119.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0169
0.65

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-