V-Lab
Bintang Mitra Semestaraya ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
18,173.70
1 Week
4,707.90
1 Month
2,309.43
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3197 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6570 | 44.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3197 | -0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.0454 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0933 | 0.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9067 | 38.54*** |
Persistence:
0.817
Half-life:
3 days
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