V-Lab
British American Tobacco Kenya Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,499.77
1 Week
1,758.71
1 Month
1,551.55
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0729 | 0.84 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7824 | 18.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2056 | 1.77* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0458 | 1.28 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9542 | 22.54*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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