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Analyst Investment Management Services ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 12th, 2026

1 Day

4,264.08

increased by 1,443.76

1 Week

3,063.06

increased by 242.74

1 Month

3,420.35

increased by 600.03

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Analyst Investment Management Services ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2002 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0450
0.89
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9180
262.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0029
0.03
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.2810
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9999
0.83
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0001
0.09

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days