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Al Kathiri Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026

1 Day

6,355.19

increased by 1,712.53

1 Week

4,823.15

increased by 180.49

1 Month

2,930.88

decreased by 1,711.78

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Al Kathiri Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2017 to Aug 13, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1374
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4807
1.78*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1374
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2806
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7194
0.23

Persistence:

0.549

Half-life:

1 days