V-Lab
Al Kathiri Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026
1 Day
6,355.19
1 Week
4,823.15
1 Month
2,930.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 2017 to Aug 13, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1374 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4807 | 1.78* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1374 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2806 | 0.04 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7194 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
0.549
Half-life:
1 days
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