V-Lab
Agility Global PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
2,472.82
1 Week
2,320.35
1 Month
2,163.22
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 05:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 212% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1604 | 6.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4715 | 11.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3408 | 9.37*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9978 | 35.11*** |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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