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Agility Global PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

2,158.18

increased by 177.47

1 Week

1,964.22

decreased by 16.49

1 Month

1,780.21

decreased by 200.50

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 05:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Agility Global PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 453 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 126% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.70
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0370
3.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9382
159.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0467
3.43***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

453 days