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Abans Financial Services Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5,825.22

increased by 4,047.70

1 Week

2,474.31

increased by 696.79

1 Month

2,346.74

increased by 569.22

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Abans Financial Services Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 37% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
6.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1699
12.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7989
107.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0625
2.53**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-