Axtel Inds Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
5,817.87
1 Week
8,059.51
1 Month
8,310.94
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2009 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4945 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1134 | 2.20** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4945 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.9977 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0250 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9750 | 36.92*** |
Persistence:
0.361
Half-life:
1 days
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