Admie (Ipto) Hldg ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
6,783.60
1 Week
6,130.65
1 Month
5,342.51
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 20, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1101 | 7.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8702 | 190.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0505 | -2.07** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 447.67*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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