{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	61
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1154	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7679	0.28
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1154	0.00
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.00
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0424	0.00
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9576	1.68*

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